In the last couple of weeks, quite a number of economists pointed out that the Olympics would not become a divide of China's development progress. And this was partly proved in the survey results of this month's consumer confidence: the opening of the Olympics did not show a major impact on the consumer confidence of the month. Instead, changes in the consumer confidence index were more related to the changes in lasting factors, such as the stock market, general prices, and the subprime mortgage crisis. Consumer confidence on current conditions fell again in August as a result of the dives (again) of the stock market and rises (again) in general prices (as can be inferred from a re-falling consumer satisfaction with current general prices after two months' consecutive rises). Future expectations, on the other hand, rebounded this month, led by an improvement in the expectations on future business conditions.
On the other hand, consumers' concerns on future price rises eased in August despite of the falling satisfaction with current prices. The percentage of consumers who expected general prices to rise in the year ahead went down by eight percentage points from that of the previous month, while that of those who expected general prices to fall in the year ahead went up by six percentage points from the month before. Expected increase in general prices in the year ahead also went down by two percentage points from the last month. All this showed a similar trend as that among the US consumers on future general price expectations as reported in the initial August survey results of the Reuters/ University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey.
Consumer Voices:
"I have a relatively stable job and decent income, so I planned to make some investment. Then I realized how fast stocks and funds were falling, and that bank deposits resulted only in negative interest rates, and prices are rising so fast¡ I better spend the money to make my life more comfortable."
"The global economic environment is bad, and the China government does not have a second key project for investment like the Olympics. I guess economy might slow down in the following period. But so long as the regulatory policies are appropriate, I believe the economy will continue to improve."
"Houses are expensive, and house prices might fall further. Banks are tightening their mortgage policies so I might as well wait instead of buying a house now."




